Page 66 - ماهنامه تازه های انرژی شماره 73

Fuels – Natural gas

Natural gas grows strongly, with broad-based demand low-cost
supplies and increasi)n???g??????g? ??2lo04b0 ???a? ??2l01a7v????a( ???il???a????b?? ??il???i???t???y? ???? ?????? ??? ????? ?? ??????? ???? ??????-?3? ????????

Gas demand and produ???c????t???i???o???n????,???2???0???1???7???-???2????0????4???0????? Gas trade, 2017-2???0????4????0????? ????? ????

B????c????m????? ?????????
???? ????? ?????????

OHYHO ???2???W???K????H???U???V???? ???/1??????*???
???(??X????U???R????S???H????? ????3?????LS??????H????O???LQ????H???????
???$????I???U????LFD OHYHO
???2????W???K???H???U????$???V???L????D??? 3URGXFHG
??&??K???LQD ZLWKLQUHJLRQ
???5???X????V???VLD
???0?????L???G????G????OH(DVW Fuels – Natural gas
???8????6?????

LNG exports 'H???P????D????QG increa se sig3nUR???iG???fX????iF???WcLRQantly, led by US and Qatar, 3URG???X???F????W???LRQ 7???UD???G????H? ??fostering
a more competitive and globally-integrated market

LNG imports and exports )? ???????2040 ? ???2017 ? ???? ?????? ? ?????? ???????? ?? ???????? ????? (???-?5? ????????

Bcm

???????? Imports Exports ????????

-???D????S????DQ?????DQ?? ??G????.? ??RUHD 0??????L???G????G????OH(DVW

&????K???LQD 1????R????U???WK????$????P?????HULFD

,???Q????GLD Key points $?????X?????V???W???UDOLD
Natural gas grows strongly,
2?????W???K???H???U????$? ??V????L???D??? supported by broad-based demand, $?????I???U???L???FD
plentiful low-cost supplies, and the Eisa52????l???se???X???Wt???Kd???V?????HV???LUD?????
(?????X????URSH increasing availability of gas globally, Global gas production
by the US and Middle
Gas2???d????WK???eH???mU??????a???n?????d grows in (Qatar and Iran) – who together

almost every country account for almost 50% of the

and region considered aided by the growing supplies of growth in gas production over
liquefied natural gas (LNG). the Outlook – supported by
strong increases in output in
In the ET scenario, natural gas both China and Russia.
grows at an average rate of
1.7% p.a. - increasing nearly The importance of gas trade ?????????

50% by 2040 - the only source continues to grow over the Outlook???, ???? ????
of energy, along with renewables, drivenby robust expansion of LNG
whose share in primary energy supplies which account for more

increases over the Outlook. than 15% of total gas demand
? ?? ????? ??????????.???? ?? ??? ????? ???? ?????? ????G???r???o??w???t???h???in ga???s????d???e???m?? ??a????nd????i???s??? ???? ?? ?? ????? ????ipn???ip?2???e???0????li4n???0e???,???s???ohvi?ep???rm???t???a???e???kn???int???sg???i???inn???tt???eh???re???-???r???elagt???eio????2n???0a? ??l???20????s????.????????
? ?????? ????? ? ??? ???????? ????????? ????? ?????????w????i?d???e???s????p???r???ead,???in???c???re???a???s???i???ng????i????n????a???l???m????o???st? ?????.? ?? ??? ??? ????? ???? ????? ?????????????? ? ???? ???????
?? ??????????????????????????????? ????????????????????dien???vr???itev???h???re??ey???n?????cO???ino???uubtnlrootor????aykd?????.al????y?T???n?????hde???e???qre???u???in???ga????ci???lorae???n???ma???c???s???oo????eu?????nni???s???st????isd????e? ???r????e?????d??????????????
????? ?? ???40 ?? ????? ?? ?? ???? ?? ???????????????? ?? ??????????? ?????
.??????? ???? ??? ???? ? ??????.?????? ???? ???? ??? ??????? ????????

? ?????????? ????????? ??????by use in pow????er????a???n???d????in????d???u???st???ry???.? ??? ??? ??? ?? ?????? ?? ??? ???????? ?? ???? ???????????? ????
????????????K?????9????e5?????y? |????p???????B???o????P???????i????E???n????n???t???e???s????r????g?????y????????O????u?????t????l???o?????o??????k????:?????2?????0????1????9???????e??????d???i????t?????i???o??????n????????©?????|????????B??????P??????p?????.????l????.????c??????.????2?????0????Tg1????r9r????ao??????nw?????s??????t?????ph???o?????,ratlbreec?????i???t???o????wr?????d???is???t?????h???t???h???s????e???m????????f???aa??????lsl????tv?????e???o?????s???l???ut?????m????????e????s??????.?? ????????????????????????????????????????? ??????????????????? ??????????????????????????????????????????????.??????????????????????????????????????

? ??????.????? ?????? ?? ?????? ???????? ?????? ?? ?? ?? ??? ?????? ???? .??????? ?????? ????? ????
???????????Gae????x???lm???op????bao????anr????eld???.L???c???s???N???ou????G???mb????s???pv????to???ea???ln»tui????ttmiiav?????ele???l???y???,s????,???gal????el???or?????ae???b????d?????asi???nl«ely???gt???-?t???too????? ???????? ??????????????pAf???o????asr???t???iatL???e???N?rr?en????G???moiafmiinmp???sop???t???roh???tsre???t,sd?a»olwt???h???mi???to???hiun???ingan????hA???t?t???s????mhi2?aea0???sr1kh???e9i???ftt???s?????,?????????????tTvi???omh?«??l???euin????mp???gre???e???a????c???ng???i???drso???e????aw????vp???ta???r???ho???i???laf?wi?9bl???e0iill?l???i0ot???dy???f???e???Lo???p????fN???e???tG???nh???de?????on???new???the?????????
??????in????te????g?? ??ra???t???ed????g???a???s? ??????m????a????rk???e???t.??? ?????? ???? ? ???? ???w???it???h???C???h? ??ina,???In????d???ia? ??a???n????d????O???t???h????e???2r A????s???ia ?????????? ???in???v???es???t????m???e?n)EtsTn(e»e???d???e????d????t???o????f???in???a«n???ce????t???h????e????? ??
??????????????.?????BtI???nh????c?????at???m????nh??????ed???i????n????o???E?????u2T????b0??????s?????l4e????c?????0s?e??????,n????u???r???a???pe????r????ai????f???ocr??????,o???h???Lm???i????n????N?????ga???G????r???a????ol????t???mur????a????n????o???dd?????se????t4?????m???9???0??????0???0o?????0r?????e?? ??????????????????????????maoo?????n???vf???a???ed???a????r???rlkl?at?????e???aLc?????tk???cN????sionGougfnimtJ?????thi???an???pe?????p???go?????am???r???f???n???t???o???o???s???rar?????be???na????y???rd???eo9????2s???Ku???0???0???tno???0a????4dr???b???e????0?lhai?.???s????a,???h???l?????fe????d???????????2?????0??????1????7???????.?????tonc????h???o?fae?????tntu???rhs???e????reie????di???s????Le???o???Nr???a???fa?????G???Lbr????i????Nlse???m???kG?????eat????x???hir????nkp???av?????eat?????e???tn????ts???h4???ws???tei0????moil0?ldn???e???c?.e???n???oTv???????tn???ehs????tle???oim???n????p???c?u???e????mye???ac?????enli???nsc?????at?????l????????????
Bcm in 2017. to be associated with periods
Europe remains a key market,
The increase in LNG exports is both as a ‘balancing market’ of volatility.

led by North America, followed by for LNG supplies and a key 62
the Middle East, Africa and Russia.
As the LNG market matures, hub of gas-on-gas competition
between LNG and pipeline
the US and Qatar emerge as 73 ? ??????????? ????????

the main centres of LNG exports, gas (see pp 100-101).

accounting for around 40% of all